Published: Fri, April 06, 2018
Worldwide | By Victor Meyer

2018 hurricane forecasts point to slightly above average season

2018 hurricane forecasts point to slightly above average season

But the Sunshine State has suffered direct hits from hurricanes two years in a row, and another strong season would suggest the Atlantic Ocean remains in a period of hyperactivity.

Colorado State Researchers are predicting above average activity for the upcoming hurricane season, but nothing like the historic 2017 season that devastated the gulf.

As many as 14 named storms have been predicted, seven of which are expected to be just as monstrous as Harvey, Irma and Maria from past year.

Hurricane season officially begins on June 1.

This Hurricane Season is shaping up to be an active one.

"The probability of landfall for any one location along the coast is very low and reflects the fact that, in any one season, most US coastal areas will not feel the effects of a hurricane no matter how active the individual season is".

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Long Island was pretty much spared past year - which marked the fifth anniversary of superstorm Sandy - though areas of the South Shore and East End in September did experience high surf, coastal flooding and dune erosion from what had been Hurricane Jose, which lingered for days just to the southeast.

The trio of devastating storms, which struck in late August and September 2017, had a much more devastating impact on the electric power industry, leaving millions without power for varying periods in the US Southeast and Puerto Rico.

At this point, "We do not anticipate a significant El Niño event this summer/fall", Colorado State researchers said in a release.

However, during last spring/summer, the waters warmed much faster than normal across most of the Atlantic, and by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, the sea surface temperatures were much warmer than normal across most of the tropical Atlantic, providing increased fuel for the hurricanes that formed past year. Waters in other parts of the Atlantic remained cooler than average. For the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas, researchers predicted a 38% chance versus an average 30% for the last century. The average risk is 52 percent.

The above-average season is because the United States is expected to be in a "weak La Niña" weather pattern.

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